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Bear Market Guardian

Stay Ahead of Market Crashes with our S&P 500 Trading Signal. 

Bear Market Guardian is your essential tool for navigating the unpredictable world of trading and protecting your investments in the S&P 500 index. Our daily trading signal provides invaluable insights to help you avoid bear markets and minimize losses during significant market crashes. With three distinct values - Buy, Hold, and Sell - our signal empowers you to make confident trading decisions based on real-time analysis and expert market observations.


Deciding when to buy and when to sell are pivotal choices that determine whether we profit or risk our capital. In a constantly evolving market, these answers shift annually.

Bear Market Guardian ensures you're always equipped with the right response. Whether the market faces challenges or thrives, our daily signals safeguard your investments, ensuring market fluctuations don't erode their value.

Key Features:

  1. Expert Market Insights: Our dedicated team of analysts and sophisticated algorithms closely monitor the S&P 500 index to detect the early signs of a bear market. By leveraging comprehensive data analysis and market indicators, we provide you with accurate insights and timely alerts that guide your investment strategy.

  2. Daily Signal Recommendations: With our easy-to-understand signal system, you receive a daily signal that offers one of three values: Buy, Hold, or Out of Market. This signal guides you on the optimal course of action to take based on the prevailing market conditions, helping you avoid potential losses and protect your portfolio.

Backtesting Results

We conducted a comprehensive backtest spanning the period between 1994 and 2023 to evaluate the effectiveness of our Bear Market Guardian signal strategy. This analysis compared our signal strategy against two benchmark strategies: the Buy and Hold SPX portfolio and a Simple Moving Average (MA) cross strategy using 200-day and 50-day settings.





The summary of the results are given in the table above. Below is the dissection of the results:

  • Our Bear Market Guardian signal strategy demonstrated a solid return of 10.1%, outperforming both the Simple MA strategy and the Buy and Hold SPX portfolio.

  • Our signal strategy exhibited lower volatility compared to the Buy and Hold SPX portfolio, indicating a significantly more stable and controlled investment approach.

  • One of the key advantages of our Bear Market Guardian signal strategy is its ability to minimize drawdowns during market downturns. With a maximum drawdown of 20.2%, our strategy outperformed the Buy and Hold SPX portfolio by a huge margin, offering enhanced protection against significant losses.

  • The Sharpe Ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment. Our Bear Market Guardian signal strategy achieved a higher Sharpe Ratio compared to both benchmark strategies, indicating the most favorable risk-to-reward profile.

  • The Calmar Ratio evaluates the relationship between the average annual return and the maximum drawdown. Our Bear Market Guardian strategy demonstrated a higher Calmar Ratio than the Simple MA strategy and the Buy and Hold SPX portfolio, once again highlighting its superior risk-adjusted performance.

Bear Market Guardian
Simple MA Strategy
Buy and Hold SPY
Calmar Ratio
Sharpe Ratio
Max Drawdown


The Bear Market Guardian stands as an indispensable tool for investors looking to optimize their S&P 500 index investments. Our comprehensive backtest spanning from 1994 to 2023 highlights not just the resilience of this signal strategy, but its prowess in outshining traditional benchmarks. With a return of 10.1%, it surpassed both the Simple MA strategy and the Buy and Hold SPX portfolio. Its lower volatility underscores a methodical and stable approach, making it less susceptible to the whims of the market. One of its most commendable features is the significant reduction in drawdowns during market downturns, offering investors a robust shield during turbulent times. The superior Sharpe and Calmar Ratios further testify to its superior risk-adjusted performance. By seamlessly merging expert market insights with sophisticated algorithms, the Bear Market Guardian promises not just protection during bearish climates but a promise of consistent, attractive returns.

Backtest Results: Comparative Analysis of Bear Market Guardian

How it works?

Bear Market Guardian is designed to demystify your trading decisions in the S&P 500 (SPX) index. Here's a simple breakdown of how our tool empowers you with actionable insights:

Daily Signals: As a subscriber, you will receive daily signals via email directly tailored to guide your S&P 500 investment strategy.


Indicates an optimal time to invest in the SPX. When you receive this signal, it's our analysis suggesting a favorable market condition for purchasing.


Our recommendation to remain passive, refraining from either buying or selling. It's our way of saying the market is unpredictable at the moment, and it's best to wait for clearer signals.


A cue that it might be the right time to divest your SPX holdings, based on prevailing market conditions and potential risks.

Use these daily signals to navigate the complex world of trading. Whether you're looking to capitalize on a bullish market, mitigate potential losses during bearish trends, or simply bide your time, Bear Market Guardian provides the guidance you need. By harnessing our signals, you can be proactive in your investment decisions, ensuring your capital is always working optimally in the S&P 500 index.

With Bear Market Guardian, trading in the S&P 500 becomes clearer, smarter, and more strategic. Sign up today and let our signals be your guide.

Suscribe for Free

Bear Market Guardian


Stay Ahead of Market Crashes with our S&P 500 Trading Signal. 

The services offered by Elbruks are entirely complimentary. There are no upfront fees, subsequent payments, or extra steps required to begin utilizing Elbruks.

You can seamlessly cancel your subscription anytime - simply fill the cancellation form through the provided link, and we'll promptly handle it, no questions asked. Feel free to email us at if you are facing any issues.

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